NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU NICH
Points 71.7 86.5
Total Points   158.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 25.8
Points From Free Throws 16.6 14.5
Shooting HCU NICH
Field Goals Made 25.1 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 62.4
Field Goal % 43.4% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 16.6 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 20.0
Free Throw % 64.1% 72.4%
Ball Control HCU NICH
Rebounds 35.1 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.7
Turnovers 12.1 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.1
Steals 5.4 7.9
Fouls 13.3 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU NICH
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 74.8
% of Possessions with HCU NICH
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 25.9%
Player Fouled 22.6% 17.8%
Turnover 16.2% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU NICH
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 28.6%