NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE HARV
Points 68.4 67.0
Total Points   135.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 22.5
Points From Free Throws 10.9 13.0
Shooting NE HARV
Field Goals Made 25.5 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 52.9
Field Goal % 43.0% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 10.9 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 18.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 69.8%
Ball Control NE HARV
Rebounds 36.4 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 7.6
Turnovers 10.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.2
Steals 6.5 6.0
Fouls 14.6 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Northeastrn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE HARV
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 63.7
% of Possessions with NE HARV
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.9% 21.5%
Turnover 15.6% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE HARV
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 23.3%