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Connecticut vs. Oregon
Thu Nov 24, 2022
8:00pm ET
Portland, OR
(Neutral Site)
Connecticut vs. Oregon: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 3.5, Total Points: 137.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-12-0 | 17-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 9-14-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 19-5-0 | 10-10-0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
Oregon Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Georgia | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Montana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | TN State | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Florida A&M | -22.0 | W by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -13.0 | W by 22 | +9.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cal Baptist | -12.0 | W by 21 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Syracuse | -4.0 | L by 20 | -24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | USC | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | UCLA | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wash State | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | California | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Colorado | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Utah | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 19 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Arizona | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | USC | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | UCLA | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wash State | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oregon St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Stanford | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | California | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oregon St | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 20 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Colorado | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Arizona | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Colorado | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| CONN -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1971 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 1167 times (59.2%).
- The team like Oregon won the game 804 times (40.8%).
- The team like Oregon did better against the spread, going 1000-933-38 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3146 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Oregon did better against the spread, going 1565-1528-53 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/24 08:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 08:01 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:55 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 07:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 07:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 05:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 05:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 03:25 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:16 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/24 01:55 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 12:01 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 11:43 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 10:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:31 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:04 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 11:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 10:44 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/23 10:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 08:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/23 07:58 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 07:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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