NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU KENT
Points 69.8 77.5
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 27.7
Points From Free Throws 14.9 16.5
Shooting NIU KENT
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 60.5
Field Goal % 44.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 22.5
Free Throw % 67.4% 73.1%
Ball Control NIU KENT
Rebounds 35.1 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 12.0
Turnovers 12.4 9.0
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.3
Steals 4.0 6.4
Fouls 15.7 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kent St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU KENT
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 74.0
% of Possessions with NIU KENT
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 28.3%
Player Fouled 25.0% 22.1%
Turnover 17.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU KENT
Shot Blocked 3.8% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 31.8%