NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN GTWN
Points 90.1 61.2
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 47.4 26.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 19.1
Points From Free Throws 17.0 15.4
Shooting CONN GTWN
Field Goals Made 32.3 19.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 56.7
Field Goal % 57.7% 34.8%
2 Pointers Made 23.7 13.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 71.3% 37.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 17.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.4
Free Throw % 74.9% 72.0%
Ball Control CONN GTWN
Rebounds 38.9 27.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 16.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.1
Turnovers 8.1 9.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 2.2
Steals 6.3 4.2
Fouls 14.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN GTWN
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 69.1
% of Possessions with CONN GTWN
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 25.4%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.0%
Turnover 12.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN GTWN
Shot Blocked 4.1% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 38.3% 28.0%