NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU AMCC
Points 67.4 83.6
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 51.9
Points From 3-Pointers 12.5 16.5
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.1
Shooting HCU AMCC
Field Goals Made 23.0 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 66.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 48.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 21.1
Free Throw % 64.1% 71.6%
Ball Control HCU AMCC
Rebounds 33.3 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 13.4
Turnovers 14.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.2
Steals 4.7 9.6
Fouls 13.5 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU AMCC
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 79.5
% of Possessions with HCU AMCC
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 19.6%
Player Fouled 25.3% 18.2%
Turnover 19.6% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU AMCC
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 35.0%