NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HCU TAMCOM
Points 72.5 78.9
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.9 23.9
Points From Free Throws 16.7 12.6
Shooting HCU TAMCOM
Field Goals Made 25.7 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 65.2
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 18.0
Free Throw % 64.1% 69.6%
Ball Control HCU TAMCOM
Rebounds 41.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.3
Turnovers 13.5 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 6.3
Steals 4.1 8.4
Fouls 12.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HCU TAMCOM
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 76.1
% of Possessions with HCU TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 14.8% 29.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 16.0%
Turnover 17.9% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HCU TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 23.8%