NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN TEM
Points 84.3 55.2
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 25.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 16.6
Points From Free Throws 17.0 13.1
Shooting CONN TEM
Field Goals Made 29.5 18.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 58.8
Field Goal % 52.1% 31.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 65.0% 33.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 27.2%
Free Throws Made 17.0 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 18.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 70.1%
Ball Control CONN TEM
Rebounds 45.0 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 34.2 19.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.6
Turnovers 8.6 8.2
Blocked Shots 5.9 2.1
Steals 4.8 5.4
Fouls 14.0 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN TEM
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 68.8
% of Possessions with CONN TEM
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.5%
Turnover 12.5% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN TEM
Shot Blocked 3.8% 10.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 20.0%