NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU PITT
Points 61.4 84.4
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 32.5
Points From Free Throws 12.7 16.5
Shooting NIU PITT
Field Goals Made 21.1 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 61.9
Field Goal % 39.3% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 22.6
Free Throw % 67.4% 73.0%
Ball Control NIU PITT
Rebounds 31.9 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 12.1
Turnovers 11.9 6.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 2.9 6.8
Fouls 15.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU PITT
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 75.1
% of Possessions with NIU PITT
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 32.0%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.2%
Turnover 17.2% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 4.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU PITT
Shot Blocked 6.7% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 33.2%