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Connecticut at E Carolina
Sat Feb 29, 2020
2:00pm ET
Greenville, NC
Connecticut at E Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 5.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | ECU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-12-0 | 14-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 9-10-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 7-11-1 | |
| Away | 19-5-0 | 7-6-0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
E Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ferrum | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Campbell | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Northeastrn | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | GA Southern | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Kennesaw St | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Geo Mason | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Maryland ES | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Carolina | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | Florida | +15.0 | L by 5 | +10.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Delaware St | -12.5 | W by 29 | +16.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +17.0 | L by 15 | +2.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Tulsa | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Temple | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Methodist | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | North Texas | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Wichita St | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Temple | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Florida | -1.0 | L by 11 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Charlotte | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | UTSA | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Wichita St | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Tulane | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Rice | (Pick) | L by 18 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Memphis | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | North Texas | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Methodist | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Charlotte | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Tulsa | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| CONN -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1396 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 953 times (68.3%).
- The team like East Carolina won the game 443 times (31.7%).
- The team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 691-686-19 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3682 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 1820-1793-69 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/29 01:54 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:39 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 12:05 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 12:03 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 11:25 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/29 10:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 09:52 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/29 08:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 07:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 07:21 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 05:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/29 04:47 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 02:17 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/29 01:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/28 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 02/28 07:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
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