NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CONN HALL
Points 78.2 61.8
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 14.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 15.0
Shooting CONN HALL
Field Goals Made 28.5 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 58.5
Field Goal % 46.7% 35.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 42.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 38.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.1 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 18.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 80.8%
Ball Control CONN HALL
Rebounds 39.2 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.7
Turnovers 8.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 6.8 3.9
Steals 6.1 5.4
Fouls 14.1 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CONN HALL
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 68.8
% of Possessions with CONN HALL
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 20.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.7%
Turnover 13.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CONN HALL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 11.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 27.8%