NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE COLG
Points 63.6 67.6
Total Points   131.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 22.2
Points From Free Throws 9.8 9.4
Shooting NE COLG
Field Goals Made 24.0 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.8 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 14.1
Free Throw % 73.5% 66.6%
Ball Control NE COLG
Rebounds 33.4 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 6.8
Turnovers 10.3 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 5.5 5.8
Fouls 12.1 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Colgate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE COLG
Total Possessions 65.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 62.4
% of Possessions with NE COLG
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 16.9% 18.4%
Turnover 15.6% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE COLG
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 21.9%