NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU M-OH
Points 67.2 72.4
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 30.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 27.2
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.4
Shooting NIU M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 57.4
Field Goal % 41.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.1
Free Throw % 67.4% 71.5%
Ball Control NIU M-OH
Rebounds 38.2 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.7
Turnovers 12.0 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.4
Steals 4.5 6.3
Fouls 16.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Miami (OH)

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU M-OH
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.9
% of Possessions with NIU M-OH
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 28.6%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.8%
Turnover 17.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU M-OH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 21.6%