NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE UNCW
Points 69.3 74.8
Total Points   144.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 24.0
Points From Free Throws 11.9 14.1
Shooting NE UNCW
Field Goals Made 25.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 11.9 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 18.2
Free Throw % 73.5% 77.5%
Ball Control NE UNCW
Rebounds 32.7 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 21.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.9
Turnovers 11.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 3.8 5.6
Fouls 14.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Northeastrn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE UNCW
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 67.3
% of Possessions with NE UNCW
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 29.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.3%
Turnover 17.1% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE UNCW
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 27.6%