NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH ASU
Points 78.9 72.6
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.1 19.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 14.2
Shooting WASH ASU
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 61.7
Field Goal % 46.8% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 15.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 65.3%
Ball Control WASH ASU
Rebounds 40.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 31.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.4
Turnovers 12.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.7
Steals 4.8 7.4
Fouls 15.9 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH ASU
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 74.8
% of Possessions with WASH ASU
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 25.7%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.0%
Turnover 16.2% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH ASU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 20.9%