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Washington at USC
Sat Feb 4, 2023
9:30pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
Washington at USC: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 9.5, Total Points: 142.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WASH | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-15-0 | 16-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 10-6-0 | 9-9-0 |
Washington Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Bellarmine | -10.5 | W by 34 | +23.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | N Kentucky | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Nevada | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Xavier | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 11/28 | Neutral | UCSD | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Colorado St | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Montana St | -18.5 | W by 24 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Gonzaga | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Seattle | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Washingtn | -15.0 | W by 7 | -8.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Colorado | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 12/31 | Away | Utah | +10.0 | L by 5 | +5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Oregon | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Oregon St | -12.5 | W by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Arizona St | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | UCLA | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | California | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Stanford | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Utah | -1.0 | W by 25 | +24.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Wash State | (Pick) | L by 3 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Oregon | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Oregon St | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Stanford | -4.0 | W by 20 | +16.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | California | -7.5 | L by 2 | -9.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Arizona St | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Arizona | +16.5 | L by 16 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | UCLA | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | USC | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Wash State | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | USC | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| USC -9.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2391 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 2013 times (84.2%).
- The team like Washington won the game 378 times (15.8%).
- The team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 1195-1161-35 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3856 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Washington did better against the spread, going 1901-1885-70 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -10.0 | -- |
| Open | -10.0 | -10.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 09:28 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 02:20 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:36 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 02/04 08:16 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
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