NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH USC
Points 77.7 79.0
Total Points   156.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.7 15.0
Shooting WASH USC
Field Goals Made 26.9 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 62.0
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 14.7 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 21.6
Free Throw % 71.5% 69.5%
Ball Control WASH USC
Rebounds 36.2 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.4
Turnovers 12.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 5.0
Steals 5.7 7.1
Fouls 15.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH USC
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 75.2
% of Possessions with WASH USC
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 24.1%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.0%
Turnover 15.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH USC
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 27.8%