NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH UTAH
Points 79.8 82.4
Total Points   162.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 28.9
Points From Free Throws 12.7 11.9
Shooting WASH UTAH
Field Goals Made 29.4 30.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.6 65.3
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 12.7 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 18.8
Free Throw % 71.5% 63.4%
Ball Control WASH UTAH
Rebounds 37.0 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.0
Turnovers 9.1 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.0
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 15.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH UTAH
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 76.6
% of Possessions with WASH UTAH
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.4%
Turnover 11.9% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 25.9%