NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WASH TENN
Points 69.3 83.2
Total Points   152.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 27.1
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.5
Shooting WASH TENN
Field Goals Made 23.2 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 64.8
Field Goal % 39.5% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 23.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.4%
Ball Control WASH TENN
Rebounds 35.3 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.9
Turnovers 12.2 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.7
Steals 4.8 7.2
Fouls 16.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WASH TENN
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 79.3
% of Possessions with WASH TENN
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 28.8%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.0%
Turnover 16.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WASH TENN
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 32.6%