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Connecticut at Villanova
Sat Jan 18, 2020
12:00pm ET
Philadelphia, PA
Connecticut at Villanova: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Villanova by 9.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | VILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-12-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L5 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 19-5-0 | 8-10-0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
Villanova Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | American | -23.0 | W by 27 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Le Moyne | -37.5 | W by 26 | -11.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | U Penn | -12.0 | L by 4 | -16.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Memphis | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | St Josephs | -12.5 | L by 13 | -25.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Drexel | -11.0 | L by 2 | -13.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Kansas St | -2.5 | L by 1 | -3.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | UCLA | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Creighton | +9.5 | W by 2 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | DePaul | -10.5 | W by 36 | +25.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Xavier | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Johns | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Home | DePaul | -19.0 | W by 25 | +6.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Connecticut | +4.0 | L by 1 | +3.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | St Johns | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Butler | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Marquette | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Providence | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Xavier | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Seton Hall | -7.0 | W by 26 | +19.0 |
| 02/16 | Away | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Butler | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Connecticut | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgetown | -15.5 | W by 28 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Providence | +2.5 | W by 11 | +13.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Seton Hall | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Creighton | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 1 | -23.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | VCU | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| VILL -9.5 | Open | -9.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -9.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1967 games where the closing line favored the home team by 9 to 11 points. In these games:
- The team like Villanova won the game 1639 times (83.3%).
- The team like Connecticut won the game 328 times (16.7%).
- The team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 992-929-46 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4319 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Villanova did better against the spread, going 2136-2099-84 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -- | -9.5 |
| Open | -9.5 | -- | -10.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 11:59 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:18 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:46 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 01/18 06:39 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:54 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:25 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 01/18 12:14 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 09:23 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
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