NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIU AKR
Points 66.6 87.9
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 24.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.3 31.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 18.4
Shooting NIU AKR
Field Goals Made 21.8 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 62.6
Field Goal % 37.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.4 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.5 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 24.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 74.3%
Ball Control NIU AKR
Rebounds 30.1 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 12.3
Turnovers 11.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 5.1 7.1
Fouls 17.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIU AKR
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 78.0
% of Possessions with NIU AKR
2 Point Attempt 35.9% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 30.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.8%
Turnover 15.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIU AKR
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 14.5% 33.6%