NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC TAM
Points 66.9 82.3
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 14.0 23.5
Shooting AMCC TAM
Field Goals Made 23.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 57.6
Field Goal % 39.6% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 23.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 33.0
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.3%
Ball Control AMCC TAM
Rebounds 32.5 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 14.3
Turnovers 11.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.7
Steals 4.6 6.5
Fouls 20.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC TAM
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 77.9
% of Possessions with AMCC TAM
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.3% 29.2%
Turnover 15.3% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC TAM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 38.6%