NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC SHSU
Points 68.7 72.2
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 16.6 18.4
Shooting AMCC SHSU
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 53.5
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 25.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.3%
Ball Control AMCC SHSU
Rebounds 34.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.6
Turnovers 11.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 6.7 5.9
Fouls 19.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC SHSU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 69.3
% of Possessions with AMCC SHSU
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 23.0%
Player Fouled 23.5% 27.6%
Turnover 15.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC SHSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 28.5%