NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC IW
Points 76.7 65.6
Total Points   142.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 17.6
Points From Free Throws 19.6 18.2
Shooting AMCC IW
Field Goals Made 25.6 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 50.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 19.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 25.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.7%
Ball Control AMCC IW
Rebounds 37.7 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 8.5
Turnovers 9.1 15.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.1
Steals 9.5 5.0
Fouls 18.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC IW
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 77.2 66.6
% of Possessions with AMCC IW
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 23.8%
Player Fouled 23.3% 25.6%
Turnover 12.3% 21.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 12.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC IW
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 25.0%