NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC LAM
Points 70.5 70.2
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 17.2
Points From Free Throws 17.5 16.9
Shooting AMCC LAM
Field Goals Made 23.6 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 54.8
Field Goal % 39.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 17.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 23.5
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.1%
Ball Control AMCC LAM
Rebounds 38.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.5
Turnovers 11.4 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.1
Steals 7.5 5.9
Fouls 19.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC LAM
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 69.6
% of Possessions with AMCC LAM
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 22.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 26.2%
Turnover 15.7% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC LAM
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 27.4%