NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC IW
Points 72.2 67.5
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 18.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 16.5
Shooting AMCC IW
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.7 49.6
Field Goal % 49.5% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.0 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.8 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 23.3
Free Throw % 68.5% 70.9%
Ball Control AMCC IW
Rebounds 31.2 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.5
Turnovers 10.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.8
Steals 6.0 4.9
Fouls 18.2 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC IW
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 64.0
% of Possessions with AMCC IW
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 23.1%
Player Fouled 26.6% 27.2%
Turnover 15.1% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC IW
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 27.4%