NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC HCU
Points 83.6 67.4
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 51.9 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 12.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 17.3
Shooting AMCC HCU
Field Goals Made 31.5 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.2 52.1
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 26.0 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 48.8 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 15.1 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 27.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 64.1%
Ball Control AMCC HCU
Rebounds 39.4 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 8.5
Turnovers 8.5 14.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.3
Steals 9.6 4.7
Fouls 18.9 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC HCU
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.5 68.5
% of Possessions with AMCC HCU
2 Point Attempt 54.9% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 17.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 25.3%
Turnover 11.4% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 12.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC HCU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 35.0% 24.7%