NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC SELA
Points 70.5 65.2
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 29.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 19.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.8
Shooting AMCC SELA
Field Goals Made 24.9 21.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 49.9
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 14.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 30.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 74.0%
Ball Control AMCC SELA
Rebounds 36.0 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 10.1 14.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.4
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 17.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC SELA
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 64.2
% of Possessions with AMCC SELA
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 24.6%
Turnover 14.4% 20.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC SELA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.3% 25.2%