NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMCC UTRGV
Points 75.8 68.1
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.7 13.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 20.2
Shooting AMCC UTRGV
Field Goals Made 27.7 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 50.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 22.8 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 26.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 28.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.1%
Ball Control AMCC UTRGV
Rebounds 39.2 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 6.6
Turnovers 11.4 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.7
Steals 8.2 6.4
Fouls 20.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Pan Am

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMCC UTRGV
Total Possessions 75.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 67.7
% of Possessions with AMCC UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 51.5% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 19.9%
Player Fouled 20.8% 26.8%
Turnover 15.2% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMCC UTRGV
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 19.7%