NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST NEB
Points 70.3 80.6
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 37.3
Points From Free Throws 10.7 12.8
Shooting SDST NEB
Field Goals Made 24.9 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 59.8
Field Goal % 41.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 12.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 32.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 10.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 16.8
Free Throw % 73.3% 76.0%
Ball Control SDST NEB
Rebounds 33.9 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 8.4
Turnovers 10.6 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.6
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 12.8 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Nebraska

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST NEB
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 70.0
% of Possessions with SDST NEB
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 34.1%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 40.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 18.0%
Turnover 15.0% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST NEB
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 24.6%