NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST ORU
Points 76.9 70.9
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 27.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 33.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.0
Shooting SDST ORU
Field Goals Made 27.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.0
Field Goal % 47.2% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 13.0
Free Throw % 73.3% 77.1%
Ball Control SDST ORU
Rebounds 37.0 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.6
Turnovers 8.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 4.7 5.1
Fouls 11.0 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oral Roberts

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST ORU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 66.7
% of Possessions with SDST ORU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 39.1%
Player Fouled 23.5% 15.8%
Turnover 12.6% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST ORU
Shot Blocked 5.2% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 18.6%