NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST KC
Points 82.0 65.7
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.6
Shooting SDST KC
Field Goals Made 30.3 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 59.5
Field Goal % 47.8% 39.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 17.3
Free Throw % 71.8% 66.9%
Ball Control SDST KC
Rebounds 43.3 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 8.5
Turnovers 9.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.7
Steals 5.9 5.1
Fouls 15.1 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST KC
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 70.2
% of Possessions with SDST KC
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 32.2%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.0%
Turnover 13.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST KC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 34.6% 21.6%