NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDST KC
Points 72.4 68.4
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 28.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 11.7
Shooting SDST KC
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.6
Field Goal % 45.0% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.1
Free Throw % 74.7% 77.3%
Ball Control SDST KC
Rebounds 39.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.9
Turnovers 10.8 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.2
Steals 4.3 6.3
Fouls 14.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDST KC
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 69.0
% of Possessions with SDST KC
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 38.4%
Player Fouled 23.0% 20.9%
Turnover 15.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDST KC
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 23.5%