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Southern at N Mex State
Thu Nov 14, 2019
9:00pm ET
Las Cruces, NM
Southern at N Mex State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico St. by 23.5, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SOU | adv | NMSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-15-0 | 11-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 5-11-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-7-1 | |
| Home | 7-3-0 | 6-4-1 | |
| Away | 7-12-0 | 5-12-0 |
Southern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | TX Christian | +27.5 | L by 33 | -5.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | UNLV | +20.5 | W by 14 | +34.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Arizona | +31.0 | L by 38 | -7.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | W Illinois | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Illinois | +25.0 | L by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Valparaiso | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Marquette | +32.0 | L by 37 | -5.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Miss State | +26.0 | W by 1 | +27.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | SE Louisiana | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulane | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Wiley | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/31 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | TX Southern | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Prairie View | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida A&M | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Beth-Cook | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Grambling St | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Miss Val St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alcorn St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Jackson St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alab A&M | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Alabama St | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Prairie View | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX Southern | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Grambling St | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Beth-Cook | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Florida A&M | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Alabama St | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alab A&M | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -5.5 | L by 15 | -20.5 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Kentucky | +15.0 | L by 40 | -25.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | Sul Ross St. | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UC Irvine | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/18 | Home | N Colorado | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Fresno St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 27 | -23.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | Louisville | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | University of the Southwest | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/02 | Away | New Mexico | +17.5 | L by 44 | -26.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 5 | -- |
| 12/15 | Home | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 1 | +13.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Ste F Austin | +11.0 | L by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Tulsa | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Cal Baptist | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Florida Intl | +1.0 | L by 10 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | W Kentucky | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 11 | +5.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | LA Tech | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Liberty | +5.0 | W by 6 | +11.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Jksnville St | -2.0 | W by 2 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | TX El Paso | +5.5 | L by 25 | -19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Middle Tenn | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Sam Hous St | +1.5 | L by 21 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | LA Tech | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Liberty | +14.5 | L by 25 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Jksnville St | +8.5 | W by 2 | +10.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida Intl | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 20 | -13.5 |
| NMSU -23.5 | Open | -24.0 | High | -24.0 |
| Last | -23.0 | Low | -23.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 290 games where the closing line favored the home team by 22.5 to 24.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico St. won the game 286 times (98.6%).
- The team like Southern won the game 4 times (1.4%).
- The team like Southern did better against the spread, going 147-141-2 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3682 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern did better against the spread, going 1814-1794-74 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -23.5 | -23.5 | -- |
| Open | -23.5 | -23.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/14 07:00 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 06:24 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 11/14 06:12 PM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 03:16 PM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 11/14 02:59 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 09:40 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 11/14 09:03 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
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