NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU ALCN
Points 72.8 70.0
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.7 14.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 19.5
Shooting SOU ALCN
Field Goals Made 25.5 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 51.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 12.9 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 27.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.2%
Ball Control SOU ALCN
Rebounds 30.3 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.1
Turnovers 11.8 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.5
Steals 6.5 5.4
Fouls 17.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU ALCN
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 68.3
% of Possessions with SOU ALCN
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 17.0%
Player Fouled 22.6% 25.7%
Turnover 16.9% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU ALCN
Shot Blocked 3.0% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 33.7%