NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU OSU
Points 55.0 87.1
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 8.4 22.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 17.3
Shooting INDPU OSU
Field Goals Made 20.4 31.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 56.7
Field Goal % 35.9% 55.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made 2.8 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 11.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 23.5% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 23.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.2%
Ball Control INDPU OSU
Rebounds 26.5 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 17.3 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.6
Turnovers 13.0 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.5 5.0
Steals 5.5 6.2
Fouls 17.6 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU OSU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 71.5
% of Possessions with INDPU OSU
2 Point Attempt 55.3% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 14.6% 23.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 25.1%
Turnover 18.5% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU OSU
Shot Blocked 8.9% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 40.1%