NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU AAMU
Points 65.6 62.1
Total Points   127.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 9.6
Points From Free Throws 16.7 22.4
Shooting SOU AAMU
Field Goals Made 21.2 18.2
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 44.6
Field Goal % 40.4% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 3.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 11.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 28.1%
Free Throws Made 16.7 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 31.0
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.3%
Ball Control SOU AAMU
Rebounds 32.4 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.3
Turnovers 14.0 17.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.8
Steals 9.7 6.1
Fouls 20.3 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Alab A&M

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU AAMU
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 64.2
% of Possessions with SOU AAMU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 13.7%
Player Fouled 25.4% 28.0%
Turnover 19.3% 24.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 13.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU AAMU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 29.6%