NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU BUT
Points 60.6 88.5
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 9.0 28.0
Points From Free Throws 9.3 15.3
Shooting INDPU BUT
Field Goals Made 24.2 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 57.5
Field Goal % 40.7% 55.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 46.2 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 65.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.0 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 13.1 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 22.9% 40.6%
Free Throws Made 9.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 19.1
Free Throw % 72.7% 80.1%
Ball Control INDPU BUT
Rebounds 27.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 18.7 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.1
Turnovers 13.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.4
Steals 8.0 6.6
Fouls 15.4 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU BUT
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 69.7
% of Possessions with INDPU BUT
2 Point Attempt 56.3% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.0% 28.2%
Player Fouled 16.0% 21.4%
Turnover 18.4% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU BUT
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 32.6%