NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA JVST
Points 72.0 72.0
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 13.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 15.1
Shooting USA JVST
Field Goals Made 25.6 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 56.8
Field Goal % 46.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 13.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.9
Free Throw % 74.7% 68.8%
Ball Control USA JVST
Rebounds 28.1 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 11.8
Turnovers 10.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.5
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 15.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Jksnville St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA JVST
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 70.9
% of Possessions with USA JVST
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 19.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.3%
Turnover 15.2% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA JVST
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 16.8% 34.3%