NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU IOWA
Points 65.8 84.0
Total Points   149.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 19.0
Points From Free Throws 12.2 23.6
Shooting SOU IOWA
Field Goals Made 23.5 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 52.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 51.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 12.2 23.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 30.5
Free Throw % 65.3% 77.4%
Ball Control SOU IOWA
Rebounds 29.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.6
Turnovers 12.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.7
Steals 6.6 5.5
Fouls 20.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU IOWA
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 70.8
% of Possessions with SOU IOWA
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 21.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 27.5%
Turnover 17.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 29.3%