NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU NEOM
Points 66.3 68.4
Total Points   134.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 16.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 22.3
Shooting SOU NEOM
Field Goals Made 23.6 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 47.2
Field Goal % 43.7% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 29.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 22.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 29.7
Free Throw % 65.3% 75.0%
Ball Control SOU NEOM
Rebounds 31.2 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.7
Steals 6.3 4.8
Fouls 20.1 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU NEOM
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 65.2
% of Possessions with SOU NEOM
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 22.4%
Player Fouled 21.8% 29.0%
Turnover 16.6% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 25.0%