NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU NKU
Points 64.7 81.4
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 45.0
Points From 3-Pointers 10.1 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 15.7
Shooting INDPU NKU
Field Goals Made 24.5 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 56.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 60.6%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 23.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 73.1%
Ball Control INDPU NKU
Rebounds 29.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.5
Turnovers 16.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.2
Steals 6.9 8.9
Fouls 16.3 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU NKU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 70.3
% of Possessions with INDPU NKU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 23.3%
Player Fouled 19.2% 22.7%
Turnover 22.2% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU NKU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 34.3%