NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU PV
Points 70.5 63.5
Total Points   134.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 10.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 19.1
Shooting SOU PV
Field Goals Made 24.3 20.4
Field Goals Attempted 49.0 49.7
Field Goal % 49.6% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 3.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 12.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.5%
Free Throws Made 15.9 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 27.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 70.5%
Ball Control SOU PV
Rebounds 34.9 28.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 20.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.9
Turnovers 16.6 14.3
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.4
Steals 7.2 7.3
Fouls 20.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU PV
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 66.1
% of Possessions with SOU PV
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 14.9%
Player Fouled 24.4% 28.1%
Turnover 23.0% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU PV
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 23.5%