NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU WIGB
Points 71.9 65.2
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 45.0 27.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.6
Shooting INDPU WIGB
Field Goals Made 27.1 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 51.4
Field Goal % 50.7% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 57.3% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 20.6
Free Throw % 70.1% 71.2%
Ball Control INDPU WIGB
Rebounds 35.6 27.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 6.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.3
Steals 6.0 5.7
Fouls 17.2 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU WIGB
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 63.9
% of Possessions with INDPU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 36.1%
3 Point Attempt 18.1% 31.6%
Player Fouled 22.9% 25.2%
Turnover 17.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU WIGB
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 20.2%