NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU WIGB
Points 65.3 78.1
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 8.2 28.5
Points From Free Throws 14.4 12.9
Shooting INDPU WIGB
Field Goals Made 24.1 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 53.5
Field Goal % 45.3% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 65.7%
3 Pointers Made 2.7 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 12.1 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 22.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.4 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.5%
Ball Control INDPU WIGB
Rebounds 28.0 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.7
Turnovers 10.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 6.6 4.7
Fouls 15.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU WIGB
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 64.9
% of Possessions with INDPU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.7%
Turnover 15.7% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 30.7%