NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU NORL
Points 71.4 75.0
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 8.6 15.2
Points From Free Throws 16.4 17.2
Shooting INDPU NORL
Field Goals Made 26.1 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 56.8
Field Goal % 47.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 2.9 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 11.0 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 16.4 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 24.4
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.6%
Ball Control INDPU NORL
Rebounds 33.7 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 21.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 11.4
Turnovers 14.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.6
Steals 6.6 7.5
Fouls 18.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU NORL
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 72.4
% of Possessions with INDPU NORL
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 12.9% 18.5%
Player Fouled 22.5% 25.2%
Turnover 20.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU NORL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 32.8%