NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU WRST
Points 72.5 82.1
Total Points   154.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 18.4
Points From Free Throws 12.1 20.9
Shooting SOU WRST
Field Goals Made 26.5 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 51.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 53.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 59.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 12.1 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 27.6
Free Throw % 65.3% 75.6%
Ball Control SOU WRST
Rebounds 28.7 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.9
Turnovers 12.8 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.0
Steals 7.9 5.4
Fouls 19.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Southern

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU WRST
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 68.5
% of Possessions with SOU WRST
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 18.8%
Player Fouled 19.3% 26.9%
Turnover 17.3% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU WRST
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 28.3%