NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA RICH
Points 65.3 77.9
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 21.1
Points From Free Throws 10.2 12.9
Shooting USA RICH
Field Goals Made 23.7 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 56.9
Field Goal % 40.2% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 10.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 18.1
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.6%
Ball Control USA RICH
Rebounds 31.9 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 5.3
Turnovers 10.3 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.4
Steals 4.4 6.1
Fouls 14.5 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: S Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA RICH
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 67.5
% of Possessions with USA RICH
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 26.3%
Player Fouled 16.4% 20.5%
Turnover 14.5% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA RICH
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 17.2%