NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU TXSO
Points 64.6 65.9
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 14.7 17.2
Shooting SOU TXSO
Field Goals Made 21.9 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 52.7
Field Goal % 40.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.7 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.4
Free Throw % 65.3% 73.6%
Ball Control SOU TXSO
Rebounds 34.3 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.8
Turnovers 12.9 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 6.6 5.7
Fouls 17.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX Southern

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU TXSO
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 67.3
% of Possessions with SOU TXSO
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.2%
Player Fouled 23.6% 24.4%
Turnover 18.1% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU TXSO
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 28.2%