NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU TNST
Points 65.6 65.6
Total Points   131.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 16.1
Points From Free Throws 16.6 21.2
Shooting SOU TNST
Field Goals Made 21.7 19.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 45.4
Field Goal % 41.9% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 16.6 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 27.9
Free Throw % 65.3% 76.1%
Ball Control SOU TNST
Rebounds 31.1 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.0
Turnovers 12.9 16.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.8
Steals 8.5 5.3
Fouls 19.6 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU TNST
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 62.5
% of Possessions with SOU TNST
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 35.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 21.1%
Player Fouled 25.9% 27.5%
Turnover 18.2% 23.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU TNST
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 27.2%