NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USA USD
Points 75.9 77.0
Total Points   152.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.0
Points From Free Throws 16.0 15.4
Shooting USA USD
Field Goals Made 25.9 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 58.8
Field Goal % 45.0% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 16.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.3
Free Throw % 74.7% 72.0%
Ball Control USA USD
Rebounds 31.6 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 10.0
Turnovers 11.6 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.8
Steals 7.0 7.1
Fouls 14.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USA USD
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 72.2
% of Possessions with USA USD
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 23.6%
Player Fouled 21.3% 19.8%
Turnover 15.6% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USA USD
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 28.8%