NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SOU AKR
Points 60.4 69.5
Total Points   129.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 20.6
Points From Free Throws 10.9 18.9
Shooting SOU AKR
Field Goals Made 22.1 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 48.5
Field Goal % 40.4% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 26.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 10.9 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 25.9
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.9%
Ball Control SOU AKR
Rebounds 30.0 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.5
Turnovers 11.7 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 6.4 4.4
Fouls 19.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Southern

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SOU AKR
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 64.5
% of Possessions with SOU AKR
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 33.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.4% 28.4%
Turnover 16.9% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SOU AKR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 27.7%